We all see sustainability comparisons regularly: “…if Americans stopped buying red, round clown noses, they’d save as much energy as it takes to make all the pogo sticks used worldwide.”
These are fun. Sometimes these are clever. Unfortunately, these are also almost always completely useless, for the following reasons:
1) Often, we don’t know what the folks making the comparison mean by their terms or how they got their numbers, and thus, whether those numbers are reliable. The frequency with which numbers appear to be kind of arbitrary is pretty alarming. Many are essentially just bits of folk wisdom within the environmental movement.
2) Different comparisons often count the same things in different ways (what’s known as the boundary condition problem) — so you get architects claiming that green buildings could save 40% of CO2 and energy geeks claiming that energy efficiency could save 35%, but that doesn’t mean that green buildings and energy efficiency together could save 75%, because they’re both counting many of the same things in different ways.
3) Even when they’re counting different things in the same way, comparisons are confusing. I once considered writing a post about how we were running out of SUVs to take off the road — because of solutions proposed in 20 or so different stories I had recently read. Every one of those stories used the same comparison (”X would be like taking # of millions of SUVs off the road”), which made them all paradoxically more confusing and blurry… plus how many times can we take the same SUVs off the same roads?
Even for numbers people, which many of us aren’t, these things are confusing. But I think there’s a real need to identify a common set of absolute measurements (tons of CO2s, watts, gdp, for instance) and a set of agreed-upon ways to describe the boundaries you’re assuming when claim certain impacts, so we’re all measuring apples against apples.
For instance, in just the last four days, I got two emails with the following assertions: that the operation of buildings counts for 60-80% of cities’ greenhouse gas emissions in North America, and that driving cars is responsible for 45% of the average U.S. family’s emissions.
Now, there is probably a way to slice each of these assertions so that it is sort of true. We could, for instance, decide not to count any economic activity (from farming to manufacturing) that happens outside a city’s boundaries, or measure any of the embedded carbon in its buildings and infrastructure (in other words, just count what we’re emitting right now, not what it’s taken to build what we have or what we’ll build in the future), while counting all activities within those buildings as part of operations and maybe get to a 60-80% share of carbon footprints from building operations. Similarly, we could choose not to measure all sorts of other things but to measure all of the lifetime impacts of owning a car and maybe come up with a 45% share of a family’s emissions from driving, but you’d have to really distort the usual picture (like, say, assigning a family’s agricultural climate footprint to the farmer who grew their food) to get there.
Both of these numbers came from smart, honest sources, but in too many cases, advocates choose to measure different things in different ways in order to get to a number that supports their preferred climate action, or just see putting these sorts of statistics into the world in purely utilitarian terms: if it gets people to act, why quibble about the details?
I see these things differently. If these numbers are going to mean anything, and be of any use, they need to refer to the same things, or at least the same kind of things. Otherwise we risk distorting our understanding of the problem so much that we will be unable to find actual solutions, or waste time emphasizing solutions that don’t actually help much.
That means we need to learn our business with these numbers.
If you have a favorite climate impacts measurement tool, I invite you to share it — and the argument in its favor — in the comments below.
Photo credit: flickr/ansik, Creative Commons license.
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(Posted by Alex Steffen in Columns at 10:07 AM)
Originally
from Worldchanging: Bright Green
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Originally by Alex Steffen from Worldchanging: Bright Green on January 1, 1970, 9:00am
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This post was written by admin on February 18, 2009










