Low Cost for Saving Climate

by Lisa Stiffler

New analyses of Waxman-Markey say saving the climate won’t cost consumers much coin.

Electric meter

Two new analyses on the economics of Waxman-Markey — the ever-expanding legislation tackling US greenhouse gas emissions through a cap-and-trade program and investments in renewable energy — conclude that the bill wouldn’t break the bank for consumers, and in fact could even save people money. Not bad for a law that would bring sweeping changes to the energy economy and wean the United States off carbon.

On Tuesday the Environmental Protection Agency released its latest analysis (see the June 2009 links). It pencils out the cost of the permits under the cap, the amount of power that will come from clean sources, changing energy prices, and the cost and availability of offsets (paying non-regulated polluters to reduce emissions or for the protection/planting of carbon-consuming forests).

Considering scenarios that include different strategies for meeting energy needs, the EPA concludes that by 2020, average electricity prices might not change at all, or might rise by as much as 17 percent. It goes on to say that in the best-case scenario:

“Actual household energy expenditures increase by a lesser amount due to reduced demand for energy. In 2020, the average household’s energy expenditures (excluding motor gasoline) decrease by 7 (percent)…”

In the least favorable scenario, household energy spending increases by 8 percent. Overall, the EPA said the average American could pay between $80 to $111 per year if the bill passes.

For a little more on the EPA report, check out a post on Grist from Daniel Weiss, director of climate strategy at American Progress.

On Friday, the Congressional Budget Office released its latest analysis of Waxman-Markey’s cost to consumers.  The Washington Post had a story on it Tuesday, and blogger Joe Romm offered his take on it as well.

The CBO states “the net annual economywide cost of the cap-and-trade program in
2020 would be $22 billion — or about $175 per household.”

Romm cheerily notes that breaks down to “48
cents per day — a little more than the cost of a postage stamp.”

The CBO goes on to explain that, on net, the poorest one-fifth of U.S. households would actually receive approximately $40 a year in 2020, while the highest income fifth of Americans would pay about $245 more. Those in the second-highest fifth pay more, about $340 a year, perhaps because they don’t own as much stock in coal and oil companies–the value of which would rise in the early years of Waxman-Markey because of free carbon permits.

The difference in the EPA and CBO cost estimates, according to Point Carbon, is because the EPA said its projections are in 2005 dollars (the CBO’s are in 2010 dollars) and account for cost savings
households would realize through energy efficiency provisions included in the bill.

Will these rosy forecasts for consumers compel lawmakers to pass Waxman-Markey (a.k.a. the American Clean Energy and Security Act)? We hope so. Stay tuned — the bill is headed to a floor vote in the House on Friday.

Electrical meter photo courtesy of Flickr user monkeycat! under the Creative Commons license.

This piece originally appeared in Sightline Institute’s blog, The Daily Score.

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Originally from Worldchanging: Bright Green by WorldChanging Team

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This post was written by admin on June 28, 2009

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Reader Report: The World’s First Real Time Carbon Counter

by Bryan Mitchiner

Last Thursday was the launch of the Know The Number greenhouse gas emissions counter: the first real-time counter that advertises the increasing amount of carbon in the atmosphere.

carbon%20counter.jpg

At 10 characters wide and atop its own 70-foot tall billboard, Deutsche Bank’s latest project looms large over all who enter New York City’s Time Square. The digital billboard displays the amount of equivalent greenhouse gas emissions in terms of carbon in the atmosphere, and is constantly updated based on measurements from NASA, NOAA, and supporting research from MIT.

We knew the carbon was there, so why so much hype? Displaying the numbers in real time changes the conversation. NASA and NOAA are able to measure the concentration of gases in the air, but even these measurements cannot constantly update themselves as often as the counter. The counter achieves this by predicting a bit into the future according to recent trends. In addition, the number is a reflection of all greenhouse gas emissions (methane, nitrous oxide, etc.) by their impact equivalencies in carbon. It even accounts for dips and rises in the amount of carbon in the atmosphere due to seasonal changes so not to appear to be slowing down certain times of the year.

Before Thursday, people could find out how much carbon was in the air, but the information was only updated every five years. That means that for four years, conversations about greenhouse gas emissions and about global climate change in general were numerically supported with outdated data. That’s akin to using 2000 census data to talk about cities in 2009. Kevin Parker, the chief executive officer of Deutsche Bank asset management says that displaying the count in real time “allows people to begin to engage in the debate around the issue.” In words that were used repeatedly throughout the event, the counter creates a sense of urgency, a call to action, and is intended to spur action to take the steps necessary in saving our planet.

The choice to install the counter in Times Square references the other famous counter this locale proudly hosts once a year. The countdown for each New Year and the dropping of the ball serves as a reminder of a new beginning, a fresh start, directed not just to New York, but around the world. Robert Socolow, a professor of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering at Princeton explained the number during the panel discussion as, “a planetary number…the world is connected, this number is exactly the same wherever you are on the planet. So it promotes planetary thinking, planetary identity.”

Professor Socolow says we already have many solutions; we just need to put them in action. While much discussion throughout the event revolved around capping carbon emissions and putting a price on carbon, we were constantly reminded that this is only part of the answer to our problem. Another part of the answer lies in the solutions already out there, including electric vehicles, green building and renewable energy (see the Worldchanging archives for about 10,000 more examples).

The last part of the answer is what we have yet to dream up. This is what makes the counter exciting. The idea that the problem as advertised in the number is an opportunity for growth, for investment, for job and wealth creation.

We’ve been in need of something like this for years now. Ever since climate change has threatened a wide scale transformation of our economy, industry leaders worried that they will lose profits and have been fighting dirty — with disinformation campaign designed to deceive the masses. Yet, these CEOs and executives have either failed to understand the business potential in such a transformation or are too stubborn to commit to change. The call to action and drive towards a bright green economy that this counter provides is a positive reminder. While it does remind us of the doom and gloom that we are climbing towards, it should remind us that we must get going now. What I hope and think we will see in the coming years: meaningful reduction. Let’s do more than just hope.

Bryan Mitchiner studies Community, Environment and Planning at the University of Washington. He is an intern at Worldchanging.com.

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Originally from Worldchanging: Bright Green by WorldChanging Team

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Monthly Media Round Up

burried%20in%20a%20book.jpg
Each day, a plethora of new media arrives at our Worldchanging Headquarters in Seattle — from books on climate change to magazines on women’s rights, invitations to the latest innovation-focused conferences to pamphlets and products offering new ways for solving the world’s problems. When you do our kind of work you get to see a lot of what’s out there, and the spectrum ranges from batty to brilliant. But if we didn’t see all of it, we wouldn’t recognize the best of it when it hit our desks. Each month, we’ll sift through what we received and share our favorites with you.

Our Favorite January Resources

Sustainable Urbanism: Urban Design With Nature

Resilient Cities: Responding to Peak Oil and Climate Change

Reusing the Resource: Adventures in Ecological Wastewater Recycling

Award Winning Green Roof Designs

Post Carbon Cities: Planning for Energy and Climate Uncertainty

Design for Water: Rainwater Harvesting, Stormwater Catchment, and Alternate Water Reuse

The Endless City

The Long Thaw: How Humans Are Changing the Next 100,000 Years of Earth’s Climate (Science Essentials)

Electric Water: The Emerging Revolution in Water and Energy

Atlantic Monthly

The Option of Urbanism: Investing in a New American Dream

Technologies for Sustainable Growth - Bright Green

What new media have you been consuming since the new year started? Share below.

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(Posted by WorldChanging Team in Resource - Stuff at 5:44 PM)


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by WorldChanging Team


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Originally by WorldChanging Team from Worldchanging: Bright Green on January 1, 1970, 9:00am

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Averting the Climate Crisis, Ethically

This article was written by Alex Steffen in August 2007. We’re republishing it here as part of our month-long editorial retrospective.

climate%20rights.jpg “We must all hang together,” Ben Franklin is alleged to have said after signing the Declaration of Independence, “or, most assuredly, we shall all hang separately.” A similar predicament faces us in regards to climate change. The effects of catastrophic climate change may fall more heavily on some than others, but they will not be light or pleasant for any of us. The only way we can avoid them is for nations to cooperate.

But while we all have an interest in averting climate catastrophe, we do not all bear the same moral burden for creating it (as I argued Tuesday in my post about offshoring emissions and historic carbon). Those of us in the developed world, especially North America, have pumped out a heck of a lot more greenhouse gasses than people anywhere in the developing world, and for far longer. However, the growth in emissions is very much concentrated in the developing world — especially fast-industrializing nations like China, Brazil, India, South Africa and Mexico. Any plan which does not curtail the growth in developing world emissions will fail.

Leaders of those nations quite rightly point out both that they did not create this mess, and that per capita, their peoples still emit far less carbon pollution than the average citizen of an industrialized nation. They argue that they have a right to develop, and if changes must be made, they must be made first by those of us who bear the largest responsibility.

So finding the balance between our practical need to slash emissions and our ethical obligation to distribute repsonsibility fairly is a pretty central task in any global climate plan we may create as a successor to Kyoto.

That’s why the latest global issue paper from the Heinrich Boll foundation, bearing the unfortunate titleA Brief, Adequacy and Equity-Based Evaluation of Some Prominent Climate Policy Frameworks and Proposals (PDF), is actually quite provocative.

The paper examines several approaches, including my current favorite, Contraction and Convergence, then argues for the concept of Greenhouse Development Rights (or GDRs). These proposed rights stem from the idea that to get everyone in the world to sign on to a comprehensive global framework for fighting climate change, we must require nations to pay based on their historic emissions and relative wealth (their responsibility and capacity, as the authors put it). Poorer emerging nations would then receive a certain exemption from participation, in exchange for a commitment to fair and sustainable development. The paper sums the idea up in four points:

1. The specification of an explicit temperature target, and of the global mitigation requirement that must be met if we’re to have a high probability of meeting that target;

2. The calculation of a responsibility and capacity indicator (RCI) that determines, for each country, its share of the global mitigation and adaptation burdens. The RCI, crucially, is calculated in a manner that takes the distribution of income and emissions within countries into account;

3. The specification of a mitigation exemption that relieves poor countries of their obligation to pay for mitigation, that they may instead pursue their proper human development priorities; and

4. The definition of a development obligation for rich people in poor countries, an obligation that is directly proportional to their mitigation exemption.

The authors make it clear on their own website, Ecoequity, that they don’t see GDRs as a direct practical proposal: they don’t expect to see GDRs become international law. What they hope, instead, is that GDRs will reframe the debate about global equity and climaate change. As they put it in their paper:

What is clear is that any true emergency pathway requires that emissions drop soon and steeply in both developed and developing countries, and it’s the political and ethical consequences of this inescapable fact that are most at issue. GDRs is designed so that the key precondition of any emergency pathway – that wealthy countries pay for the necessary mitigation in developing countries – is faced square on, as the nub of the problem. Its goal is to outline a framework that can, at least in principle, support an emergency program consistent with the emergency pathway.

It’s an interesting attempt to spotlight our global living room’s twin elephants: we’re destroying the planet (with undeniably serious consequences already unfolding) and the global system we’ve created is monumentally unjust.

But it leaves out a key dimension of the debate: that how we respond — in order to lower our emissions and adapt to the climatic changes we’ve already unleashed — is not a single set of actions but a spectrum of approaches, and approaches on different ends of that spectrum have wildly different implications for the prospect of fair and sustainable development in the poorer parts of the world.

Put simply, there are paths to sustainable development that involve both alleviating poverty and stabilizing climate (for instance, the sorts of projects supported — at least in theory — by the Clean Development Mechanism). We might well stipulate that developed world funding go exlusively to projects that are equitable within nations (not just between them), that help to raise long-term standards of living, that preserve ecosystem services for those most dependent on them, and help to reduce the greenhouse gasses in the atmosphere.

Here’s an example.

There are those who would argue that China’s relative poverty and its lack of historic carbon burden should mean that the rest of the world has little right to comment on its massive and increasing use of coal to generate energy — China may be becoming the largest source of greenhouse gasses, but they’re still playing catch-up.

Let’s accept that China has a right to develop — that geographical accident of birth is not a fair basis on which to limit a person’s prosperity — but that we need to reduce or mitigate for the emissions China creates in the process in some way.

One path would be: let China burn its coal, and fund inexpensive development projects elsewhere that offset the smoke rising from China’s chimneys.

But there’s another path: leapfrog China; in fact, leapfrog the Chinese people. Technology transfer is possible, but it has tended to be somewhat slow, expensive and result in further concentrations of power. I believe that smart people can figure out how to make the transfer of leapfrogging green technologies fast, cheap and equitable. That ought to be the explicit goal of our participation in climate regimes.

China needs power? Subsidize the widespread adoption of distributed renewable energy, ala Fabio Rosa’s solar electrification work in Brazil, or distribute widespread knowledge about occupant-built green building techniques and energy efficient designs. China has hundreds of millions of poor farmers. So, help them farm better, and promote effective greenbelts to trap carbon and hold back China’s advancing deserts. China has explosive urban growth? Help make eco-cities like Dongtan the norm, rather than the innovation. Industrialization in China is creating huge disparities in wealth? Help the Chinese people bring greater transparency into the realm of development.

All this is not secondary to securing the well-bring of people in the developing world — it is the means of securing their well-being. After all, the link between truly sustainable development and social well-being is quite clear. We shouldn’t let carbon blindness make us lose sight of the possibility that worldchanging approaches in poor places can leave everyone with a future both brighter and greener. To demand conventional growth is not a moral stand, but a failure of vision.

Photo: Phillip J. Redman/USGS

Greenhouse Development Rights: Climate-Clean and Fair? is part of our month long retrospective leading up to our anniversary on October 1. For the next four weeks, we’ll celebrate five years of solutions-based, forward-thinking and innovative journalism by publishing the best of the Worldchanging archives.

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(Posted by WorldChanging Team in Worldchanging Retro at 10:37 AM)


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by WorldChanging Team


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Originally by WorldChanging Team from Worldchanging on January 1, 1970, 9:00am

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Manifesta: Form and Function Follow Climate

Last year at the Centre Pompidou in Paris, Philippe Rahm’s installation Diurnisme was introducing the night during the day as a perverted answer to the perpetual daytime created by the modern lightening, internet and globalization. The room was bathed in a very bright orange/yellow light that triggered the production of melatonin which regulates our perception of day and night, fooling the body into thinking that it is nighttime.

Rahm is an architect of the invisible and physiological aspects of space. One of his earlier projects, Hormonorium, featured an alpine-like climate, complete with the brighter light and shorter supply of oxygen you get at high altitudes. Made of 528 fluorescent tubes, the floor emitted a white light that reproduces the solar spectrum. The very bright light stimulates the retina, which transmits information to the pineal gland that causes a decrease in melatonin secretion. Visitors were thus supposed to experience a decrease in fatigue, a probable increase in sexual desire, and regulation of moods. Besides, the oxygen-rarefied space caused a slight euphoria due to endorphin production.

Rahm is showing two new projects at Manifesta 7, the European Biennial of Contemporary Art currrently taking place in Northern Italy. Both installations engage with architecture’s contingent relationship with climate, this time with a higher emphasis on the state of our planet:

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The first project was exhibited in the Scenarios exhibition at Fortezza, near Bolzano. That’s actually the only show i didn’t visit (but if you read italian, i’ll recommend you the report that SounDesign wrote of the show).

Fortezza was built in the 1830s by the Habsburgian Empire in order to defend the north/south passage through the Dolomite mountain region from two sides. For the biennale, the fortress is hosting projects which are mostly immaterial: voice recordings, text, light and landscape.
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Philippe Rahm, Climate Uchornia, 2008. Photo by Philippe Rahm

Rahm placed black-backed lightboxes over the outside of some of the fortress windows. This light installation, named Climate Uchronia, refers to how our perception of natural and artificial ambient conditions are subtly influenced by factors such as climate change.

Rahm’s purpose is to re-create, inside a room, the climate and exact daylight that the city of Bolzano would experience in the absence of global warming. The installation demonstrates how today, you can still obtain a ‘natural’ climate but only through artificial means.

The concept is not as ‘crazy-arty’ as some might believe. In the UK, the Royal Society is about to launch a study aimed at reviewing the possibility of saving the planet by “geoengineering” the climate on the grandest scales imaginable.

Based on an Atmospheric Chemistry Model that sets out to remove the effects of greenhouse gases since 1850, a computer generates the uchronian climate of Rahm’s installation for each minute of the duration of the biennale. The software calculates the variation of light intensity depending of the variation of the relative humidity in the air. With Climate Uchronia, the architect offers visitors the possibility to inhabit for just a moment a world that we will never know.

The second work, Météorologie d’intérieur / Interior Weather, 2007, was exhibited in Rovereto, once again in a post-industrial sites (the Ex-Peterlini cocoa factory). I forgot to take a picture of the outside of the exhibition space as i was too busy admiring the glorious Uterus Flags that graced the street right in front of the Ex-Peterlini.

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Uterus Flags, 2008 (by Ex-Peterlini). Libia Castro & Ólafur Ólafsson

Interior Weather is conceived as two spaces, one white gallery whre an abstract “interior weather” condition is produced, and the other black space, where the resultant data is interpreted.

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Interior Weather. Photo : Centre Canadien d’Architecture / Canadian Centre for Architecture, Montréal. Credit: Michel Legendre

In a brightly lit and enclosed room, sensors measure variations in light, humidity and temperature; the space is analyzed as a micro-geography in constant flux.

The results of these measurements are sent to the adjacent gallery where they are visualized as images and stories. Unlike what happened in the first gallery, stern sensors are not guiding the communication of the data. Instead, the information is freely reinterpreted in “fictional scenarios” written by French writer Alain Robbe-Grillet and visualized with a projection in the black room.

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The installation suggests how the infinite combination of light, humidity and temperature parameters have the potential to generate new spatial practices and social behaviours, and in turn, new architectural forms. In opposition to previous architectural theories (namely the Form follows function position vs the Function follows form one), function and form emerge here as a spontaneous response to climate. The possible use of space is dictated only by the chance confluence of climatic parameters, suggesting new spatial practices, new forms of social behavior and new urban and architectural forms.


Originally
from we make money not art

by Regine


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Originally by Regine from we make money not art

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This post was written by admin on September 20, 2008

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